Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Nate Quarry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Nate QuarryNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.25
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonNate Quarry
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston66%
Nate Quarry 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 66% favorite over Nate Quarry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1566), separated by just 3 points.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nate Quarry 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.