Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Vitor Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record12-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
75"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Vitor MirandaNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonVitor Miranda
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston66%
Vitor Miranda 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 66% favorite over Vitor Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1569), separated by just 0 points.

Vitor Miranda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Miranda 92%.

Vitor Miranda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.