Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Nguyen vs Geane Herrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65,0"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Integrated MMATeamBanks MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben NguyenNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Geane HerreraNow 1623
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.51
40%
Strike accuracy
31%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
59%
Strike defense
53%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.83
33%
Takedown accuracy
38%
63%
Takedown defense
38%
1
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Ben NguyenGeane Herrera
160016502016201720182019

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (31%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (19%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Geane Herrera61%
Ben Nguyen 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Geane Herrera a 61% favorite over Ben Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1623), separated by just 11 points.

Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Geane Herrera 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.