Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Nguyen vs Jussier Formiga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Integrated MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ben Nguyen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben NguyenNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-8→ 1604
Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+8→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
59%
Strike defense
64%
0.25
Takedown avg.
1.82
33%
Takedown accuracy
35%
63%
Takedown defense
87%
1
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Ben NguyenJussier Formiga
1600165017001750201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Submission
11 (46%)
3 (19%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Jussier Formiga63%
Ben Nguyen 37%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jussier Formiga a 63% favorite over Ben Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1612, a 114-point edge.

Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.