Ben Nguyen vs Louis Smolka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
65,0"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Integrated MMATeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Louis Smolka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Nguyen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
If they win+11→ 1641
If they lose-13→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben NguyenLouis Smolka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louis Smolka60%
Ben Nguyen 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Louis Smolka a 60% favorite over Ben Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Louis Smolka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1612, a 18-point edge.
Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Louis Smolka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Louis Smolka 88%.
Louis Smolka carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.