Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Nguyen vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65,0"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Integrated MMATeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Wilson Reis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Nguyen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben NguyenNow 1612
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-13→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
40%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
59%
Strike defense
56%
0.25
Takedown avg.
5.15
33%
Takedown accuracy
43%
63%
Takedown defense
47%
1
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Ben NguyenWilson Reis
160016501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Submission
13 (46%)
3 (19%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Nguyen52%
Wilson Reis 48%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Nguyen a 52% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Reis's way (44%).

Wilson Reis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1612, a 40-point edge.

Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.