
Ben Nguyen vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Wilson Reis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Nguyen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Nguyen a 52% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Reis's way (44%).
Wilson Reis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1612, a 40-point edge.
Ben Nguyen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Nguyen finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.