Ben Rothwell vs Blagoy Ivanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
78"Reach73"
265 lbsWeight258 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamSK Absolute Bulgaria
What's at stake
Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Blagoy Ivanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-13→ 1700
If they win+17→ 1700
If they lose-15→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellBlagoy Ivanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Blagoy Ivanov57%
Ben Rothwell 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Blagoy Ivanov a 57% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (46%).
Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1683, a 30-point edge.
Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Blagoy Ivanov 63%.
Ben Rothwell and Blagoy Ivanov share 3 common opponents: Marcos Rogerio de Lima, Marcin Tybura and Junior dos Santos.
Ben Rothwell carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.