Ben Rothwell vs Chris Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record23-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'9"
78"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight268 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamXFC
What's at stake
Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Barnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-9→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellChris Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Rothwell60%
Chris Barnett 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Rothwell a 60% favorite over Chris Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1633, a 80-point edge.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Chris Barnett 78%.
Ben Rothwell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.