Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Rothwell vs Gilbert Yvel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gilbert Yvel
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Gilbert Yvel

“The Hurricane”

40-16-1HeavyweightRFC

1698Good

Tale of the tape

39-14-0Record40-16-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamThrowdown

What's at stake

Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Yvel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben RothwellNow 1713
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-13→ 1700
Gilbert YvelNow 1698
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
1.90
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.51
47%
Strike defense
50%
0.68
Takedown avg.
0
34%
Takedown accuracy
0%
70%
Takedown defense
26%
0.41
Submission avg.
1.59

Trajectory

Ben RothwellGilbert Yvel
1700175020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

28 (72%)
KO/TKO
34 (85%)
7 (18%)
Submission
6 (15%)
4 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Rothwell60%
Gilbert Yvel 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Rothwell a 60% favorite over Gilbert Yvel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1698, a 15-point edge.

Gilbert Yvel enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Yvel 100%.

Ben Rothwell and Gilbert Yvel share 2 common opponents: Junior dos Santos and Josh Barnett.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDEC · 2016
Junior dos Santos
LossKO/TKO · 2010
WinSUB · 2016
Josh Barnett
Loss Punches · 2009