Ben Rothwell vs Josh Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record35-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach78,0"
265 lbsWeight248 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamUWF USA
What's at stake
Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ben Rothwell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1727
If they lose-10→ 1703
If they win+10→ 1787
If they lose-14→ 1763
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellJosh Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Barnett58%
Ben Rothwell 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 58% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1713, a 64-point edge.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Josh Barnett 85%.
Ben Rothwell and Josh Barnett share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.