Ben Rothwell vs Junior dos Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach77"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamChampion Team
What's at stake
Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellJunior dos Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Rothwell53%
Junior dos Santos 47%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Rothwell a 53% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1642, a 71-point edge.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.
Ben Rothwell and Junior dos Santos share 1 common opponent: Blagoy Ivanov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.