Ben Rothwell vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-14-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben RothwellMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura64%
Ben Rothwell 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 64% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1708), separated by just 5 points.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Ben Rothwell and Marcin Tybura share 1 common opponent: Blagoy Ivanov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.