Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Rothwell vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

39-14-0Record27-18-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach80″
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

Ben Rothwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben RothwellNow 1713
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-13→ 1700
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-11→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
47%
Strike defense
48%
0.68
Takedown avg.
1.09
34%
Takedown accuracy
36%
70%
Takedown defense
67%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Ben RothwellOvince St. Preux
1700175020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

28 (72%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
7 (18%)
Submission
8 (30%)
4 (10%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Rothwell60%
Ovince St. Preux 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Rothwell a 60% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ben Rothwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1678, a 35-point edge.

Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.