Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Rothwell vs Ruslan Shamilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

39-14-0Record18-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach-
265 lbsWeight207 lbs
Rothwell MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben RothwellNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Ruslan ShamilovNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ben RothwellRuslan Shamilov
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

28 (72%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
7 (18%)
Submission
6 (33%)
4 (10%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Shamilov70%
Ben Rothwell 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Shamilov a 70% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1710), separated by just 3 points.

Ruslan Shamilov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Shamilov 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.