Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Rothwell vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

39-14-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Rothwell MMATeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben RothwellNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ben RothwellSergey Bilostenniy
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

28 (72%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
7 (18%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (10%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Bilostenniy70%
Ben Rothwell 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 70% favorite over Ben Rothwell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Rothwell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1708), separated by just 5 points.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ben Rothwell finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Ben Rothwell and Sergey Bilostenniy share 1 common opponent: Blagoy Ivanov.

Ben Rothwell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2019
Blagoy Ivanov
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024