Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Brandon Wolff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record7-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamMMA Development

What's at stake

Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Brandon Wolff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+7→ 1674
If they lose-17→ 1650
Brandon WolffNow 1523
If they win+22→ 1545
If they lose-10→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
0.47
50%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.91
51%
Strike defense
19%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
1.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben SaundersBrandon Wolff
155016001650170020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
6 (26%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (26%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Saunders72%
Brandon Wolff 28%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 72% favorite over Brandon Wolff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1523, a 144-point edge.

Brandon Wolff enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Wolff 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.