Ben Saunders vs Chris Heatherly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'8"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight180 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamFit or Fight
What's at stake
Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Heatherly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1652
If they win+19→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersChris Heatherly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Saunders70%
Chris Heatherly 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 70% favorite over Chris Heatherly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1604, a 62-point edge.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Chris Heatherly 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.