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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Dan Barrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"HeightTBD
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeam

What's at stake

Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Dan Barrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1666
If they win+6→ 1672
If they lose-18→ 1648
Dan BarreraNow 1483
If they win+36→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
50%
Strike accuracy
71%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
51%
Strike defense
28%
0.20
Takedown avg.
1
40%
Takedown accuracy
8%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
1.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben SaundersDan Barrera
15001600170020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
6 (26%)
Submission
1 (33%)
6 (26%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Saunders74%
Dan Barrera 26%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 74% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1483, a 183-point edge.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Dan Barrera 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.