Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record49-18-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45,0"Reach37,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Saunders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
51%
Strike defense
57%
0.20
Takedown avg.
2.45
40%
Takedown accuracy
55%
67%
Takedown defense
63%
1.30
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Ben SaundersJoe Riggs
1650170020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
6 (26%)
Submission
7 (15%)
6 (26%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Riggs55%
Ben Saunders 45%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Riggs a 55% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1667, a 37-point edge.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.