Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Jon Fitch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record32-8-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ben Saunders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-9→ 1658
Jon FitchNow 1741
If they win+9→ 1750
If they lose-15→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.20
Takedown avg.
3.64
40%
Takedown accuracy
55%
67%
Takedown defense
56%
1.30
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Ben SaundersJon Fitch
165017001750201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (22%)
6 (26%)
Submission
5 (16%)
6 (26%)
Decision
20 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Fitch61%
Ben Saunders 39%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Fitch a 61% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1667, a 74-point edge.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jon Fitch 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.