Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Kenny Robertson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
45,0"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamCentral Illinois Combat Club

What's at stake

Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kenny Robertson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+11→ 1678
If they lose-13→ 1654
Kenny RobertsonNow 1636
If they win+17→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.20
Takedown avg.
1.37
40%
Takedown accuracy
27%
67%
Takedown defense
57%
1.30
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Ben SaundersKenny Robertson
16501700201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
6 (26%)
Submission
9 (60%)
6 (26%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Robertson54%
Ben Saunders 46%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Robertson a 54% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Saunders's way (46%).

Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1636, a 31-point edge.

Kenny Robertson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Robertson 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.