Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Marcus Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcus Davis
us

Marcus Davis

“The Irish Hand Grenade”

23-11-0WelterweightPFC

1655Good

Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'8"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamTeam Irish

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Marcus DavisNow 1655
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
51%
Strike defense
66%
0.20
Takedown avg.
1.60
40%
Takedown accuracy
48%
67%
Takedown defense
48%
1.30
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Ben SaundersMarcus Davis
16501700201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
6 (26%)
6 (26%)
Submission
10 (43%)
6 (26%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Saunders61%
Marcus Davis 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 61% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1655), separated by just 12 points.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.