Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
ca

Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
45,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ben Saunders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+14→ 1681
If they lose-10→ 1657
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+10→ 1738
If they lose-14→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
51%
Strike defense
49%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0.68
40%
Takedown accuracy
21%
67%
Takedown defense
44%
1.30
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Ben SaundersPatrick Cote
1650170017502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
6 (26%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (26%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote61%
Ben Saunders 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 61% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1667, a 61-point edge.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.