Ben Saunders vs Ryan Thomas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ryan Thomas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1642
If they lose-11→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersRyan Thomas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Thomas58%
Ben Saunders 42%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Thomas a 58% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Saunders's way (45%).
Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1629, a 37-point edge.
Ryan Thomas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Thomas 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.