Ben Saunders vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-2Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45,0"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sergio Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
If they win+17→ 1658
If they lose-15→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben SaundersSergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Saunders51%
Sergio Moraes 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 51% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1641, a 25-point edge.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.