Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Saunders vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-13-2Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
45,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Ben Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Takashi Sato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+9→ 1676
If they lose-15→ 1652
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+15→ 1594
If they lose-9→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
50%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
51%
Strike defense
44%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0.76
40%
Takedown accuracy
38%
67%
Takedown defense
61%
1.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben SaundersTakashi Sato
1600165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
6 (26%)
Submission
2 (13%)
6 (26%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Saunders60%
Takashi Sato 40%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Saunders a 60% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Ben Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1579, a 88-point edge.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ben Saunders finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.