Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Wall vs Justin Salas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ben Wall
au

Ben Wall

“Manimal”

10-8-1LightweightEMMA

1482Average

Tale of the tape

10-8-1Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMATeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

Justin Salas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ben Wall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben WallNow 1482
If they win+21→ 1503
If they lose-11→ 1471
Justin SalasNow 1593
If they win+11→ 1604
If they lose-21→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.47
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
29%
Strike accuracy
43%
8.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
29%
Strike defense
69%
0
Takedown avg.
2.43
0%
Takedown accuracy
21%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben WallJustin Salas
145015001550160016502014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (25%)
6 (60%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ben Wall and Justin Salas within a point of even.

Justin Salas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1482, a 111-point edge.

Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ben Wall finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Justin Salas 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.