Combat Edge Intelligence

Benardo Sopaj vs Bryan Caraway

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record22-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benardo SopajNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Bryan CarawayNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
56%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
50%
Strike defense
54%
2.53
Takedown avg.
2.57
71%
Takedown accuracy
26%
77%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Benardo SopajBryan Caraway
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
4 (31%)
Submission
16 (73%)
2 (15%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Benardo Sopaj70%
Bryan Caraway 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Benardo Sopaj a 70% favorite over Bryan Caraway in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bryan Caraway's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.

Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Benardo Sopaj finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Bryan Caraway 82%.

Bryan Caraway carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.