Combat Edge Intelligence

Benardo Sopaj vs Jonas Mågård

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record19-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach72.8"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamRedline Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benardo SopajNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Jonas MågårdNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
2.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
71%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Benardo SopajJonas Mågård
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (37%)
2 (15%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Benardo Sopaj60%
Jonas Mågård 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Benardo Sopaj a 60% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonas Mågård's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1677), separated by just 2 points.

Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jonas Mågård enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Benardo Sopaj finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jonas Mågård 47%.

Jonas Mågård carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.