Combat Edge Intelligence

Bendy Casimir vs Lance Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-15-2Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Drysdale Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bendy CasimirNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
Lance LawrenceNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.74
Sig. strikes / min
5.87
28%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.80
55%
Strike defense
25%
0
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bendy CasimirLance Lawrence
155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
14 (64%)
Submission
5 (63%)
4 (18%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Lawrence70%
Bendy Casimir 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 70% favorite over Bendy Casimir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Bendy Casimir finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Lance Lawrence 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.