Combat Edge Intelligence

Beneil Dariush vs Jakub Kaszuba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record16-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamGracie Barra Jacksonville

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Beneil DariushNow 1746
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Jakub KaszubaNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
2.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.82
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Beneil DariushJakub Kaszuba
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
8 (35%)
Submission
2 (13%)
10 (43%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Kaszuba61%
Beneil Dariush 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Kaszuba a 61% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Beneil Dariush's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1746), separated by just 0 points.

Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jakub Kaszuba enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Beneil Dariush finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jakub Kaszuba 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.