Benito Lopez vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record16-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
139 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Benito Lopez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Vince Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-18→ 1642
If they win+13→ 1630
If they lose-11→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benito LopezVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benito Lopez66%
Vince Morales 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Benito Lopez a 66% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Benito Lopez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1617, a 43-point edge.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Benito Lopez finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Benito Lopez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.