Benny Orozco vs Mizuto Hirota
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record18-11-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach67,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamCave
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Benny OrozcoMizuto Hirota
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mizuto Hirota58%
Benny Orozco 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mizuto Hirota a 58% favorite over Benny Orozco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Benny Orozco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.
Benny Orozco enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Benny Orozco finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mizuto Hirota 56%.
Benny Orozco carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.