Combat Edge Intelligence

Bernardo Magalhaes vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TP Fight TeamTeamIronworks Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bernardo MagalhaesNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
68%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bernardo MagalhaesTysen Herken
150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (77%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken75%
Bernardo Magalhaes 25%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 75% favorite over Bernardo Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1476), separated by just 4 points.

Bernardo Magalhaes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bernardo Magalhaes finishes 23% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.