Bethe Correia vs Holly Holm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
64,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Holly Holm is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bethe Correia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-18→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bethe CorreiaHolly Holm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bethe Correia and Holly Holm within a point of even.
Holly Holm holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1593, a 42-point edge.
Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Holly Holm 53%.
Bethe Correia and Holly Holm share 2 common opponents: Irene Aldana and Raquel Pennington.
Holly Holm carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.