Bethe Correia vs Irene Aldana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record15-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'9"
64,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamLobo Gym MMA
What's at stake
Irene Aldana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bethe Correia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1612
If they lose-13→ 1580
If they win+13→ 1661
If they lose-19→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bethe CorreiaIrene Aldana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Irene Aldana70%
Bethe Correia 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Irene Aldana a 70% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Irene Aldana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1593, a 55-point edge.
Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Irene Aldana 73%.
Bethe Correia and Irene Aldana share 3 common opponents: Karol Rosa, Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington.
Irene Aldana carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.