Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Jessamyn Duke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record3-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'11"
64,0"Reach73,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
CM SystemTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Bethe Correia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jessamyn Duke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+10→ 1603
If they lose-22→ 1571
Jessamyn DukeNow 1462
If they win+33→ 1495
If they lose-15→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.83
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1.27
18%
Takedown accuracy
36%
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaJessamyn Duke
145015001550160020142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
9 (82%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Bethe Correia60%
Jessamyn Duke 40%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Bethe Correia a 60% favorite over Jessamyn Duke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Bethe Correia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1462, a 131-point edge.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jessamyn Duke enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Jessamyn Duke 67%.

Bethe Correia and Jessamyn Duke share 1 common opponent: Irene Aldana.

Jessamyn Duke carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSUB · 2019
Irene Aldana
LossTKO (punches) · 2016