Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Julie Kedzie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julie Kedzie
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Julie Kedzie

“Fireball”

16-13-0BantamweightUFC

1478Average

Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record16-13-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Bethe Correia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Julie Kedzie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+11→ 1604
If they lose-21→ 1572
Julie KedzieNow 1478
If they win+21→ 1499
If they lose-11→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
44%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.18
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1.14
18%
Takedown accuracy
24%
86%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaJulie Kedzie
15001550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
9 (82%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Bethe Correia72%
Julie Kedzie 28%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Bethe Correia a 72% favorite over Julie Kedzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Bethe Correia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1478, a 115-point edge.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julie Kedzie enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Julie Kedzie 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.