Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Melissa Mullins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
CM SystemTeamLions Gym Coventry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Melissa MullinsNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.39
Takedown avg.
2.03
18%
Takedown accuracy
43%
86%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaMelissa Mullins
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (82%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins63%
Bethe Correia 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 63% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.

Melissa Mullins carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.