Combat Edge Intelligence

Bethe Correia vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
CM SystemTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bethe Correia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bethe CorreiaNow 1593
If they win+23→ 1616
If they lose-9→ 1584
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+9→ 1760
If they lose-23→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.39
Takedown avg.
6.26
18%
Takedown accuracy
68%
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Bethe CorreiaRonda Rousey
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (77%)
9 (82%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey85%
Bethe Correia 15%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 85% favorite over Bethe Correia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1593, a 158-point edge.

Bethe Correia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bethe Correia finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Bethe Correia and Ronda Rousey share 1 common opponent: Holly Holm.

Ronda Rousey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Holly Holm
LossKO/TKO · 2015