Bevon Lewis vs Dequan Townsend
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79.00Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
Dequan Townsend is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bevon Lewis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1542
If they lose-17→ 1494
If they win+8→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bevon LewisDequan Townsend
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dequan Townsend70%
Bevon Lewis 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Dequan Townsend a 70% favorite over Bevon Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Dequan Townsend holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1511, a 108-point edge.
Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bevon Lewis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Dequan Townsend 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.