Combat Edge Intelligence

Bevon Lewis vs Geoff Pavey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Bevon Lewis
us

Bevon Lewis

“The Extraordinary Gentleman”

7-5-0MiddleweightLFA

1511Average
Geoff Pavey

Geoff Pavey

“JiuJitsu”

3-3-0MiddleweightCWFC

1501Average

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record3-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79.00Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSensei MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bevon LewisNow 1511
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486
Geoff PaveyNow 1501
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bevon LewisGeoff Pavey
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Geoff Pavey79%
Bevon Lewis 21%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Pavey a 79% favorite over Bevon Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bevon Lewis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1501), separated by just 10 points.

Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bevon Lewis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Pavey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.