Bevon Lewis vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79.00Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBonfim Brothers
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bevon LewisMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral82%
Bevon Lewis 18%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 82% favorite over Bevon Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bevon Lewis's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1499), separated by just 12 points.
Bevon Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bevon Lewis finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.