Combat Edge Intelligence

Biaggio Ali Walsh vs Tristan Arenal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Xtreme Couture MMATeamUnlimited MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Biaggio Ali WalshNow 1544
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Tristan ArenalNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Biaggio Ali WalshTristan Arenal
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Biaggio Ali Walsh59%
Tristan Arenal 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Biaggio Ali Walsh a 59% favorite over Tristan Arenal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1540), separated by just 4 points.

Biaggio Ali Walsh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Arenal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.