Bibert Tumenov vs Colby Covington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
BastionTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1776 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bibert TumenovColby Covington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bibert Tumenov64%
Colby Covington 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Bibert Tumenov a 64% favorite over Colby Covington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1765), separated by just 5 points.
Bibert Tumenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bibert Tumenov finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Colby Covington 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.