Bill Algeo vs Joanderson Brito
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record20-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach72"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1705 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Joanderson Brito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bill Algeo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-8→ 1658
If they win+11→ 1798
If they lose-21→ 1766
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bill AlgeoJoanderson Brito
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joanderson Brito80%
Bill Algeo 20%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Joanderson Brito a 80% favorite over Bill Algeo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Joanderson Brito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1666, a 121-point edge.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joanderson Brito enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Joanderson Brito 85%.
Bill Algeo and Joanderson Brito share 1 common opponent: Andre Fili.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.