Bill Algeo vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Titan PATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bill Algeo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-10→ 1654
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill AlgeoRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Lamas69%
Bill Algeo 31%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 69% favorite over Bill Algeo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1664, a 66-point edge.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bill Algeo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Bill Algeo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.