Bill Mahood vs Forrest Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record19-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Revolution Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Forrest Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bill Mahood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
If they win+15→ 1673
If they lose-17→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bill MahoodForrest Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Forrest Griffin61%
Bill Mahood 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Forrest Griffin a 61% favorite over Bill Mahood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Forrest Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1641, a 17-point edge.
Bill Mahood enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Bill Mahood finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.