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Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Evangelista vs Jared Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy EvangelistaNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Jared GordonNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.78
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Billy EvangelistaJared Gordon
1700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (10%)
8 (62%)
Decision
11 (52%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Gordon75%
Billy Evangelista 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 75% favorite over Billy Evangelista in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Billy Evangelista finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.