Billy Evangelista vs Yamato Nishikawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamNishikawa Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Billy EvangelistaYamato Nishikawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yamato Nishikawa58%
Billy Evangelista 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yamato Nishikawa a 58% favorite over Billy Evangelista in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Billy Evangelista's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Billy Evangelista finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.